Vittorio De Zen's Fast Break: 8 Fantasy Basketball Busts For 2009-2010
Old 09-10-2009, 02:30 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Vittorio De Zen's Fast Break: 8 Fantasy Basketball Busts For 2009-2010



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This is a guest post by my buddy Julian, who writes the blog Comedy Landfill. Like me, he’s a huge NBA fan and a fantasy basketball aficionado. We thought that in addition to giving you know some potentially awesome fantasy picks, we should list some guys to stay away from. Anyway, enjoy. And follow him on twitter.

Bad Fantasy Fits

Richard Jefferson: There is no doubt in my mind that Richard Jefferson is going to improve the Spurs this coming season. However, this is fantasy basketball, not real basketball, and hard questions must be asked. How is Jefferson going to behave when slotted next to other scorers that are going to require a large amount of touches? Duncan, Ginobili and Parker all like to take their fair amount of shots, and Jefferson might get squeezed a bit in this respect. I expect his shooting percentage to rise, but his PPG to go down, and his rebounds to stay around the same.

Andre Miller: Many people questioned this decision by Portland GM Prichard in the offseason, myself being one of them. It might work a bit better in practice than it does on paper, but that doesn’t mean that Miller’s stats won’t suffer. Never the long bomber, Andre doesn’t figure to benefit too much from Roy’s ability to draw double teams. However, his number of three point shots made should go up marginally. Even with Portland’s high powered offense, I don’t expect Miller’s assist numbers are going to change much – they may even dip slightly because he’s just not going to have the ball in his hands as much and, unless he’s traded, Blake will be competing with him for minutes. His PPG should take a much bigger drop than his assists, though. He simply does not have to score as much, or create offense for himself with so many other, more versatile scoring options on the floor.

Allen Iverson: No, no, no. I know what you’re thinking. It’s Allen Iverson! Former MVP! Shining light to all those little basketball players who dreamed of making it in the NBA! Yeah, those days are mostly behind him, if last season was any indication, and guess where he’s headed? Memphis. A team that has the very similar OJ Mayo, the shot happy Rudy Gay and infamous black hole Zach Randolph. Expect his stats to take a dip, with perhaps a slight increase in efficiency.

Injury Concerns

Jermaine O’Neal: Don’t be fooled by the positive injury reports coming out of Miami, O’Neal is likely not worth it. His rebounding over the past couple of years, even when healthy, has been suspect, his FG% is too low for a big, and obviously, he is a big question mark when it comes to injuries. Don’t pick him too early, but be open to picking him up later on, when he might be worth it as a value pick.

Shaquille O’Neal: The Big Galactus may be tempting for people, seeing as he had what appeared to be a bounce-back season in Pheonix last year. However, what many people do not realize is that Pheonix has probably the best medical and training staff in the NBA. They have prolonged the careers and peaks of many an aging player over the years, and it’s no surprise that Shaq went from being an injury-prone malcontent in Miami, to a revitalized Diesel in Pheonix. I expect him to miss a substantial number of games next season, but contribute well when he does play.

Tyson Chandler: He’s not with Chris Paul any more, so a lot of his scoring opportunities are going to dry up, and with it, his fantastic FG% and his somewhat decent ppg averages for a center. It also looks like his injury problems may be a bit more serious than first imagined.

Fake Sleepers

Lou Williams: Andre Miller is gone, so surely Lou Williams is going to step up and get a lot of minutes and help your team out, right? I wouldn’t bet on it. Last year he shot worst than 40% in terms of FG%, has a poor assist rate, and turns the ball over a lot. He contributes threes and steals, but I would only pick him up very late.

Yi Jianlian: Oh my! I’ve heard far to much about a guy who is legitimately terrible just because he flexed his muscles in the offseason and someone took a picture of it. Don’t count on any miraculous improvements.
Source - 8 Fantasy Basketball Busts For 2009-2010 Vittorio De Zen's Fast Break
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Old 09-10-2009, 02:53 PM   #2 (permalink)
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i disagree about AI...
he's going into this season with a HUGE chip on his shoulder.
couple in the fact that this is a one year deal, and that he'll be playing this season as if it were his last (considering teams didnt want him this offseason), and you'll see the AI of old come out to play.

alot of guys dont realize that AI's stats dipped last season because he respected the pistons team... he didnt want to come in and rock the boat, he was trying his darndest to fit in.
this season, he's on a memphis team with no history... he isnt afraid of stirring the shit, he doesnt care if his teamates like him or not. he's going in with one mentality - the only one he knows how to play with - a selfish one
expect AI to ball hog all season long and his stats to skyrocket.
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Old 09-10-2009, 03:45 PM   #3 (permalink)
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If this was streetball, I'd completely agree. They have a coach, though, a coach that has the power to bench Iverson if he doesn't fit in. I would be surprised if they gave him the freedom to put up big numbers, with all those other scorers on the team.
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Old 09-10-2009, 04:12 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vittorio De Zen View Post
If this was streetball, I'd completely agree. They have a coach, though, a coach that has the power to bench Iverson if he doesn't fit in. I would be surprised if they gave him the freedom to put up big numbers, with all those other scorers on the team.
what do they have to lose?
i bet their plan is to "let 'em run loose".
i mean, its not like they have anything else going for them. they were horrible last year, and were going to be equally horrible this year... may as well let AI and crew rack up 110+ point nights and try and outgun their opponents, thus, bring in a bigger crowd and some 'hype' to the failing franchise, right?
their selling point this season will be offense....AI will flourish.
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Old 09-10-2009, 08:09 PM   #5 (permalink)
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The whole memphis team is going down and so is OKC aside from Durant.
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Old 09-10-2009, 08:54 PM   #6 (permalink)
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Is there any way we can nab OJ Mayo?
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Old 09-11-2009, 01:40 AM   #7 (permalink)
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Quote:
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what do they have to lose?
i bet their plan is to "let 'em run loose".
i mean, its not like they have anything else going for them. they were horrible last year, and were going to be equally horrible this year... may as well let AI and crew rack up 110+ point nights and try and outgun their opponents, thus, bring in a bigger crowd and some 'hype' to the failing franchise, right?
their selling point this season will be offense....AI will flourish.
How do they expect to out run opponents with most likely the biggest front court currently in the NBA. Gasol at 7'1" and Thabeet 7'3".
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Old 09-11-2009, 10:56 AM   #8 (permalink)
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How do they expect to out run opponents with most likely the biggest front court currently in the NBA. Gasol at 7'1" and Thabeet 7'3".
what are you talking about?
those two are the teams C and backup C. Randolph will be the starting PF.

and when i say 'let 'em run loose'... i never said 'outrun' opponents... it meant to let their guys go out there and run loose / do whatever they want.
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