SI: Miami has a BIG problem
Old 03-10-2011, 12:31 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Heat SI: Miami has a BIG problem

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The Heat’s level of play has declined. They’ve dropped to sixth in both points scored per possession and points allowed per possession after threatening for most of the season to join a small group of clubs to finish in the top three in both.

Orlando, San Antonio and now Portland have shown that smart, patient teams can find good perimeter looks — at least right now, in early March — against Miami’s aggressive, rotating defense. The Heat aren’t forcing turnovers at nearly the rate we may have expected early in the season, and that of course limits their ability to get out in transition, where they are the second most efficient scoring team in the league, according to the stat-tracking service Synergy Sports.

The Heat are on pace to win 55 games, just eight more than they won last season with Dwyane Wade, Udonis Haslem, a mildly effective Jermaine O’Neal and spare parts.

Miami has problems. Chris Bosh says he wants the ball down low more. Wade wants the ball more late in games and took issue with coach Erik Spoelstra’s rotations after Tuesday’s home loss to the Blazers.

Those rotations reveal the fundamental problem in Miami: the lack of a second big man Spoelstra feels he can trust. Parse the data all you want, but I keep coming back to that particular roster limitation. Miami’s best backups (Mike Miller and James Jones) play the same positions as their two best players, and the Heat have been unable to get consistent minutes from six big men who sit on their bench every game.

That problem has crystallized in the last week. Before about a week ago, Miami’s small lineups, featuring LeBron James as the power forward, were a change-of-pace thing Spoelstra broke out in small doses — typically at the end of the first and third quarters, when James plays alongside several bench guys while Wade and Bosh rest.


But over the last week, this has been Miami’s go-to lineup for long and crucial stretches. Some of that is likely due to recent opponents; the Spurs and Blazers love to use smallish lineups, inviting the Heat to do the same. But Miami used James at power forward for nearly the entire fourth quarter Sunday against the Bulls, even as Chicago kept two true big men on the floor for all but the final 15 seconds of that period. The lack of size came back to bite Miami in small ways. Luol Deng hit a runner over Wade when the guy who would normally defend Deng (James) was guarding Joakim Noah, and the Bulls snagged a few key offensive rebounds against the Heat’s shorter personnel.
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The Heat clearly did not envision playing this way when they signed center Joel Anthony to a five-year, $18.25 million contract and picked up seemingly every thirtysomething big man willing to work on the cheap. What started as a five-minutes-per-game gimmick has become much more, and when Miami is finishing games with a three-guard lineup that includes Mike Bibby and Mario Chalmers, you know Spoelstra is flailing.

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But it’s hard to imagine the Heat’s winning the title over teams like Boston, Chicago and the Lakers if Bosh is the only big man they can count on.

The Point Forward Posts Flailing Heat have one very big problem
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Old 03-10-2011, 01:45 AM   #2 (permalink)
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Bosh is an awesome third guy.....if the first two guys aren't bust being egotistical douchebages.

let um fail.
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Old 03-10-2011, 01:46 AM   #3 (permalink)
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Bosh is an awesome third guy.....if the first two guys aren't bust being egotistical douchebages.

let um fail.
SJ said it best!!!

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Old 03-10-2011, 09:15 AM   #4 (permalink)
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ESPN wants to blame the bad play on Udonis Haslem being injured.

One dude! Seriously?!?

ESPN needs to do more reports on the Blazers if they are gonna start blaming losses on one guy being injured.

The Blazer reporters over here siad Miami rolls with 3 ESPN reporters to every game. Perhaps that's a reason why they suck sometimes. It's like a reality TV show or something over there.

But Miami played good against the Blazers, just not Chris Bosh, or their bench. So what you do is bring Chris Bosh off the bench. Seriously, he can't make it any worse, that's for sure.
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Old 03-10-2011, 09:17 AM   #5 (permalink)
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They got old man Obi Wan just sittin' there.

Juwan Howard played his ass off for the Blazers last year. Makes no sense why he's not in the everyday rotation.
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Old 03-10-2011, 11:09 AM   #6 (permalink)
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I wouldn't be shocked if Bosh was dealt this summer. Especially if they can't get past the 2nd round.
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Old 03-10-2011, 11:15 AM   #7 (permalink)
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The sad thing is CB isn't even the guy who should be traded. I think with one of either Wade or LeBron along with Bosh, you have an incredible high-low , PNR combination. But how can you sell a move to your fans that's getting rid of LeBron? Or Wade? You can't, that's why it has to be Bosh.
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Old 03-10-2011, 11:25 AM   #8 (permalink)
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The sad thing is CB isn't even the guy who should be traded. I think with one of either Wade or LeBron along with Bosh, you have an incredible high-low , PNR combination. But how can you sell a move to your fans that's getting rid of LeBron? Or Wade? You can't, that's why it has to be Bosh.
Not really. If you trade a Lebron or Wade you can get a big time player in return. For example can you imagine CP3 in Miami with one of those two plus Bosh. Or any stud PG for that matter. But I have a feeling if Bosh is dealt he'd end up in New Jersey.
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Old 03-10-2011, 11:46 AM   #9 (permalink)
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Not really. If you trade a Lebron or Wade you can get a big time player in return. For example can you imagine CP3 in Miami with one of those two plus Bosh. Or any stud PG for that matter. But I have a feeling if Bosh is dealt he'd end up in New Jersey.
Good idea...replace one ball dominant player with another one.
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Old 03-10-2011, 11:48 AM   #10 (permalink)
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Lebron and Wade are stuck together. Bosh will be gone
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Old 03-10-2011, 12:00 PM   #11 (permalink)
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Wouldn't Bosh getting traded after a season be jus freakin hilarious

Dude leave's a max contract to take a pay cut and win
Leaves the opportunity to be the Franchise for media exposure

Would be pretty funny if he ends up on a bottom feeder team again like Sac or Cleveland lol
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Old 03-10-2011, 12:04 PM   #12 (permalink)
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he needs to go to minnesota to be with the other caged wolves.
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Old 03-10-2011, 12:05 PM   #13 (permalink)
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I think I had seen a stat that the heat are under 15% on field goals in the last 30 seconds of games. Maybe they should stop taking turns running iso's and actually run a offense.
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Old 03-10-2011, 12:31 PM   #14 (permalink)
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Mike Miller has been a terrible signing. Their bench is terrible. Star power and defense win in the playoffs. All those people say that Bosh can't play defense, Miami is Top 6 in opponents points allowed and Top 2 in opponent FG%. I know its team defense, but you don't average 36 minutes on the floor being a defensive liability.
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Old 03-10-2011, 12:37 PM   #15 (permalink)
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with all of the hype, the media buzz, the expectations, etc, if the Heat have a second (or first ) round exit im positive that they look to trade CB.
with the new CBA being negotiated over the summer and the fact that it may be harder on teams and contracts means that every penny a team can save will be massive.
they will not be able to survive with 3 players making shitloads of money and have next to nothing to spend on the other 8 players... they're feeling it already, with their bench not contributing.
They'll look at the big 3, see that Bosh is making the most out of all of them... and not putting up numbers that a 100 million dollar guy should be, and he'll be the scapegoat.

they have a horrible bench, full of one dimensioal guys... they take that 100 million Bosh is collecting and spread that between 3-4 really good role players and they may right their wrong.
while CB may be the wrong guy to unload, theres no way in hell Lebron or wade is traded.
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Old 03-10-2011, 12:39 PM   #16 (permalink)
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no one will take on cb's 100 mil if he flops this season
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Old 03-10-2011, 12:43 PM   #17 (permalink)
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no one will take on cb's 100 mil if he flops this season
Sure they would. He's an 18/8 player as a 3rd wheel. I suppose it depends on the CBA but someone would take him. I think a team like NJ who are look to keep Williams would be interested.
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Old 03-10-2011, 01:03 PM   #18 (permalink)
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He'd go West. Miami would demand a brook lopez in return who would be a tremendous fit, but there's no way Mikhail Prokhorov gives Miami a guy like Brook Lopez when he's promised to win a championship in five years. No one in the East will want to give up anything of value for him
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Old 03-10-2011, 01:20 PM   #19 (permalink)
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Bosh has hardly flopped. The biggest problem with the team is the inability to get other players involved. He's been unselfish and been quite supportive of all the role players. And when Hubie Brown spends an entire half of play describing the guy in glowing terms, it's hard to see where he's lost so much value.

Is he a great fit? That's a reasonable question. And again it's the same question with everyone else, even in terms of the compatibility of Wade and Lebron. The biggest failure of the recent past has been losing ground defensively. And I put a lot of that on the coaching. Jones needs more play. He was getting the job done on defense. And Bibby is just a disaster. The coaching staff needed to be able to see what they had and how they were going to settle on making the most of their strengths while living with whatever weaknesses they had to. Instead they have settled on nothing, including the style of play they look to get out of Lebron and Wade. That can't help anything, and it certainly can hurt the play of the whole team.
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Old 03-10-2011, 01:21 PM   #20 (permalink)
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thats why i said 'if'.
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