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Dr. J. Naismith 06-30-2009 03:42 PM

Shawn Marionís Next Contract
 
:reporter:

Quote:

Originally Posted by nbaroundtable.com
The MLE

How much is the five year MLE worth?

I don’t think the MLE gets decided until the cap is finalized, which is July 7th, but it figures to be worth around $5.5 million so we’ll use that as our ball park figure.

Year One: $5.5 million

Year Two: $5.94 million

Year Three: $6.15 million

Year Four: $6.93 million

Year Five: $7.48 million

Total: $32 million

Therefore, Marion will earn a contract worth $32 million over five years.

Raptors Extension


The figure of $21 million over three years has been mentioned frequently

Okay, so let’s say Marion gets his $21 million over three years.

That’s $10 million less in guaranteed money than what he’d be getting from the MLE. Marion would need to earn close to the MLE on his next contract just to break even.

Marion will also be 34 years old when he becomes a free agent. Also remember that his game, and his stats, have been in the decline for the last couple of years and that is game is based on his athleticism. We’re looking at a fairly large risk here.

And for what? The joy of playing for a worse team? One with very little hope of even winning a playoff series during his next contract? Instead of suiting up for a contender and getting the opportunity to play for a Championship. He’s taking $10 million less for this honour? That sound right to anyone else?

Conclusions

I don’t think folks are paying enough attention to how quickly an MLE contract increases each year, and how valuable that contract can become over a five year period. Financially, it’s a great offer for Marion and he’ll be able to accept it while playing for a much better team than Toronto.

I think it will take a longer contract from Toronto than three years in order to get Marion to stay. Say a five year $37-40 million contract (maybe more!).

Or, a larger contract at three years, say $26-28 million over three years.

Source - Shawn Marion’s Next Contract nbaroundtable

gdaytday 06-30-2009 03:46 PM

This is why I hate logical reasoning.

jeffb 06-30-2009 03:50 PM

3yrs/27Mil would be the highest i'd want to give him.

Plus isn't 3yrs/27Mil better the the 5yrs/32Mil he'd get for an MLE deal. In 3 years he'd then sign an MLE deal if he stays healthy.

Windex 06-30-2009 03:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gdaytday (Post 201031)
This is why I hate logical reasoning.

hopefully Marion's agent doesn't practice it

B-RAD 06-30-2009 03:57 PM

:yeah:well his agent is dan fegan who has ties with raptors as we know. so, i'm hoping he kind of gives us a break. marion gets money he wants and plays for raptors.

spuriousjones 06-30-2009 04:01 PM

what team is going to want to pay marion $7.5MM five years from now?

Admiral 06-30-2009 04:05 PM

i'm capping my limit at 3year/$24 million, so an average of 8 million

Formless 06-30-2009 04:45 PM

Can you offer a MLE with a TO?

Kuzzy 06-30-2009 06:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by spuriousjones (Post 201040)
what team is going to want to pay marion $7.5MM five years from now?

a team thats inches away from a championship...
basically every fucking team in the west lol

tvett6 06-30-2009 07:28 PM

Problem is if we don't sign Marion than Bosh is sure to walk. Personally i think alot of Marions game is predicated on his extremely high basketball IQ and for that reason he will retain his value. Even if you have to sign him for 9-10 mill, you will have no problem trading him next season. At that price he has value in a trade and you preserve his capspace to boot.

If Colangelo doesn't get him signed or alternately signed and traded, we will not have enough cap space to build a reasonable contender next year. If that were the case i know what i would do. Trade Chris and start your rebuild with some youth while he still has max value. Colangelo will have some major franchise altering decisions in the next month or two.


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