Ric Bucher: Celtics should be worried?

jeffb · 02-08-2010, 09:55 AM

Interesting? I didn't realize we had that easy a schedule after February.

Quote:

Not to add to the Celtics' misery, but Raptors have 2nd easiest remaining schedule, based on opponents' winning pct. Mia has easiest.
about 5 hours ago from web

Ric Bucher (RicBucher) on Twitter

osamu · 02-08-2010, 10:01 AM

We can pass them with Butler and Haywood.

jeffb · 02-08-2010, 10:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by osamu

We can pass them with Butler and Haywood.

10 days until the trade deadline!!

Windex · 02-08-2010, 10:16 AM

Miami has the easiest sked...we better look out

Windex · 02-08-2010, 10:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jeffb

10 days until the trade deadline!!

an we won't get an all star

but someone will (Cavs, Mavs)

**Acie** · 02-08-2010, 10:18 AM

Blatant disrspect and ignorance from ESPN.

CB4Real · 02-08-2010, 10:42 AM

why cant he just admit were good, what an a-hole

jeffb · 02-08-2010, 10:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Acie

Blatant disrspect and ignorance from ESPN.

Rene_13 · 02-08-2010, 10:50 AM

I'm not concerned about Miami at all, their team just isn't that good.

VanCity · 02-08-2010, 02:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Acie

Blatant disrspect and ignorance from ESPN.

Quote:

Originally Posted by jeffb

good call acie...

ArmChairGM · 02-08-2010, 02:30 PM

Huge qualifications need to be made regarding the schedule. Opponents' winning percentage is just one of several variables that need to be considered. If you just look at the opponents winning percentage, you're setting yourself up to be wrong about some things.

Two games help illustrate this point:

1 - Later in March, we have a road game against New Jersey. On the surface, that should be a road win the Raps can easilty get. However, the Raps are on a back 2 back while the Nets will have several days of rest. It's a road game that looks super easy but has the potential to be a big upset.

2 - Later in March, I believe it's the 29th, the Raps play the Bobcats on the road. Now, in terms of winning percentage, the Bobcats are .500. But, at home, they are much better than that. Furthermore, the Raps will, again, be on a back 2 back when playing this road game. And, again, the opponent will have several days rest. Last time the Raps played the Bobcats on the road, it was the 2nd night of a back 2 back and Charlotte had several days rest....the end result was a blowout.

I could cite more examples, but I think these two give an example of how opponents' winning percentage can be misleading when not placed in context.

henrymakepeace · 02-09-2010, 06:36 AM

Armchair, you take things too seriously IMO. Just relax and enjoy the schedule. You're probably right but nevertheless...

007nites · 02-09-2010, 06:39 AM

KG should be worried about Bosh dropping 50 on his ass.

LX · 02-09-2010, 06:46 AM

It's a good point. The numbers can and do lie. How do you really calculate the strength or weakness of a schedule? On top of what ACGM suggests, you just don't know where any of the teams in the schedule are going to be in terms of injuries, hot streaks, or anything like that.

Look at Toronto at the end of last season. They were playing much better, playing as if the games meant something even though they didn't, and they were winning at a good clip. That can happen with some of the "easy" teams yet to come in the schedule, while we could hit a night against Cleveland where Lebron sits out because he's chewed his fingernails down to the bone.

007nites · 02-09-2010, 06:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by •LX•

It's a good point. The numbers can and do lie. How do you really calculate the strength or weakness of a schedule? On top of what ACGM suggests, you just don't know where any of the teams in the schedule are going to be in terms of injuries, hot streaks, or anything like that.

Look at Toronto at the end of last season. They were playing much better, playing as if the games meant something even though they didn't, and they were winning at a good clip. That can happen with some of the "easy" teams yet to come in the schedule, while we could hit a night against Cleveland where Lebron sits out because he's chewed his fingernails down to the bone.

I don't see the Raps slacking off on weaker teams especially at home. However, on the road I can see this happening and we saw it in the Indiana game.

Ex2k · 02-09-2010, 09:10 AM

back to backs will kill us

02-08-2010, 02:30 PM	#11 (permalink)
ArmChairGM is purple a random internet user Join Date: Oct 2009 Location: Winnipeg Posts: 2,311 Representing:	Huge qualifications need to be made regarding the schedule. Opponents' winning percentage is just one of several variables that need to be considered. If you just look at the opponents winning percentage, you're setting yourself up to be wrong about some things. Two games help illustrate this point: 1 - Later in March, we have a road game against New Jersey. On the surface, that should be a road win the Raps can easilty get. However, the Raps are on a back 2 back while the Nets will have several days of rest. It's a road game that looks super easy but has the potential to be a big upset. 2 - Later in March, I believe it's the 29th, the Raps play the Bobcats on the road. Now, in terms of winning percentage, the Bobcats are .500. But, at home, they are much better than that. Furthermore, the Raps will, again, be on a back 2 back when playing this road game. And, again, the opponent will have several days rest. Last time the Raps played the Bobcats on the road, it was the 2nd night of a back 2 back and Charlotte had several days rest....the end result was a blowout. I could cite more examples, but I think these two give an example of how opponents' winning percentage can be misleading when not placed in context.
	3 members found this post helpful.

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02-08-2010, 10:01 AM	#2 (permalink)
osamu is a fan of scratching his bare bum and smelling his fingers. Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 427 Representing:	We can pass them with Butler and Haywood.

02-08-2010, 10:16 AM	#4 (permalink)
Windex is ready for some football fresh and clean Join Date: Oct 2008 Location: GTA Posts: 11,263 Representing:	Miami has the easiest sked...we better look out

02-08-2010, 10:18 AM	#6 (permalink)
Acie is Don't play dumb with me. It's a game you can't win. Cram it up your cramhole! Join Date: Dec 2007 Location: Living in a van down by the river Posts: 15,845 Representing:	Blatant disrspect and ignorance from ESPN.

02-08-2010, 10:42 AM	#7 (permalink)
CB4Real is KABOOOOOOOSHHHH straight out of COMPTON Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 1,294 Representing:	why cant he just admit were good, what an a-hole

02-08-2010, 10:50 AM	#9 (permalink)
Rene_13 is Schweinsteiger7 Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 355 Representing:	I'm not concerned about Miami at all, their team just isn't that good.

02-09-2010, 06:36 AM	#12 (permalink)
henrymakepeace is what he is. Senior Member Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 1,201 Representing:	Armchair, you take things too seriously IMO. Just relax and enjoy the schedule. You're probably right but nevertheless...

02-09-2010, 06:39 AM	#13 (permalink)
007nites is Quote the Oakley, nevermore.... Out of the shadows Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Vancouver Posts: 4,188 Representing:	KG should be worried about Bosh dropping 50 on his ass.

02-09-2010, 06:46 AM	#14 (permalink)
LX is doing the laundry in his mind, and pocketing all the change he finds In the Paint Join Date: Dec 2007 Location: Toronto Posts: 10,619 Representing:	It's a good point. The numbers can and do lie. How do you really calculate the strength or weakness of a schedule? On top of what ACGM suggests, you just don't know where any of the teams in the schedule are going to be in terms of injuries, hot streaks, or anything like that. Look at Toronto at the end of last season. They were playing much better, playing as if the games meant something even though they didn't, and they were winning at a good clip. That can happen with some of the "easy" teams yet to come in the schedule, while we could hit a night against Cleveland where Lebron sits out because he's chewed his fingernails down to the bone.

02-09-2010, 09:10 AM	#16 (permalink)
Ex2k is at 2k+ posts! Senior Member Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 2,452 Representing:	back to backs will kill us