NBA Dynasty: Predited Raptors win/loss 2010-11
Old 08-08-2010, 12:48 PM   #1 (permalink)
is the baby faced assassin

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NBA Dynasty: Predited Raptors win/loss 2010-11

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To see who best contributes to that aspect of the game one can follow (Wins Share per 48) WS/48 and Wins Shares stats of their favorite and not so favorite players on the link below. Just click on the name of the player and scroll down to advanced stats. League average for WS/48 is .100 Wins Shares, the more the better. Win Shares for the individual players on a team add up to approximately the total wins that a team actually achieved in that season, not counting the "team factor" see below

For example Bosh had Wins Shares of 9.6. That means that according to the WS/48 number and the minutes that Bosh played he was statistically responsible for approximately 9.6 of the Raptors wins last season.


Lets go through the rotation players from last season and see how their numbers in this area stack up.

Player---------WS/48---------Wins Shares
-----------------------------------------------
Bosh ---------.185---------------9.6
Jack----------.102---------------4.8
Johnson-------.155---------------4.5
Calderon------.111---------------4.2
Bargnani------.072---------------4.2
Turk----------.071---------------3.4
DeRozan------.066----------------2.3
Weems-------.044----------------1.3
Belinelli-------.049----------------1.2
Rasho--------.089----------------0.8
Banks--------.095----------------0.5
Wright--------.011---------------0.3
Evans---------.033--------------0.2

Total---------------------------37.3
Total actual wins----------------40.0
----------------------------------------
Team factor------------2.7
================================

If you add up the Cavs Win Shares from last season they don't come close to the 61 wins that the Cavs achieved in 09-10. There is a much larger team factor. Team factors include the ability of a player to make the overall team better. James impact on the Cavs overall performance was way beyond his Win Share numbers. I am of the opinion and the numbers support this, a lot more so than Bosh impact on the Raptors team performance.

WS/48 is impacted greatly by a player's (Usage factor) USG%, eg. Bosh's USG% was a very high 28.7. By contrast Bargnani's was 22.3 and. DeRozan was 18.1 and Johnson only 14.5. So Bosh's Usage factor last season was twice what Johnson's was, which based upon what we saw take place during the Raptors games last season makes total sense.

The point being is that with Bosh gone the Raptors won't lose all of the 9.6 wins that Bosh was responsible for. They will lose less because his USG% will be allocated among the players now on the roster based upon their WS/48 and minutes played in 10-11.
~ The Dynasty of the Toronto Raptors ~: The Number of Minimum Wins that The Raptors Will Achieve in 10-11 Will Exceed
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Old 08-08-2010, 01:32 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Another delusional Raps fan. Hey Jeff you and him can be friends XD
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Old 08-08-2010, 01:36 PM   #3 (permalink)
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Some raps fan writing in a blog, nothing new here.
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Old 08-08-2010, 01:42 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by Gurk View Post
Another delusional Raps fan. Hey Jeff you and him can be friends XD
Looking at the prediction thread, i'm far from the only one here that think we can win 35+.
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Old 08-08-2010, 03:34 PM   #5 (permalink)
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i really hope that whoever thinks up these retarded ass ideas are getting paid for them, and they don't do these breakdowns out of fun, jesus lol...
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