Grizz: Raps in the clutch

**Acie** · 05-14-2012, 08:59 AM

Grizz has decided to share his excellent writing talents with us. Check it out...

Quote:

A topic that has been gaining quite a but of press around the league in the last few seasons is clutch play. It’s a topic that blends the lines of stats and narrative to create constant debate among sports fans. Such a complex category can cause quite a bit of disagreement among basketball experts, and I’m far from such, so I offer my analysis while still trying to give you enough data so you can come to your own conclusions. We can debate what even constitutes clutch play, but for my purposes I will lean towards the last few minutes of a game rather than game winning/tying shots, as I feel clutch play is random enough on it’s own, let alone breaking it down even further to a play or two a game. Also note there is plenty of work out there that will analyze clutch play among the superstars of the league, by better writers with better resources than I, so you won’t find that here. We’ll be focusing strictly Raptors for this piece.

Raptors Blog » Grizz: Raps in the clutch - Toronto Raptors Blog & Message Forum

Grizz · 05-14-2012, 10:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Acie

Grizz has decided to share his excellent writing talents with us. Check it out...

Raptors Blog » Grizz: Raps in the clutch - Toronto Raptors Blog & Message Forum

Thanks Acie for giving me the chance to try my hand at a little research into the Raptors season. Any feedback is appreciated, you won't hurt my feelings. Well, you might, but it's the internet and I can cry in private.

LX · 05-14-2012, 10:58 AM

nice work Grizz. I think this would be a big area of concern as far as the draft and/or free agent additions come into play.

**'trane** · 05-14-2012, 11:04 AM

nice work grizz. enjoyable read first thing on a monday morning.

Grizz · 05-14-2012, 12:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LX

nice work Grizz. I think this would be a big area of concern as far as the draft and/or free agent additions come into play.

I originally intended to do some work in this area, but I thought it was getting a little long as is. I was going to go over the clutch stats for some of the potential (wishful?) FA targets, perhaps I still will. Seems like it's something that is really hard to predict if it translates from team to team though.

Phil McCracken · 05-14-2012, 01:00 PM

Cool stuff, man.

No real surprise that we don't have a closer, but the Raps aren't the only team in TO that don't.

Bankiz · 05-14-2012, 04:00 PM

Nice grizz !

just a question : do you have the barbosa numbers during his time here ?
i think that would be interesting to know too.

Bill Haverchuck · 05-14-2012, 04:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Grizz

I originally intended to do some work in this area, but I thought it was getting a little long as is. I was going to go over the clutch stats for some of the potential (wishful?) FA targets, perhaps I still will. Seems like it's something that is really hard to predict if it translates from team to team though.

If you decide to do the FA targets, I would read it. I'm interested too.

**DanH** · 05-14-2012, 06:01 PM

Great read Grizz. Interesting that Bargnani seems to be the only "plus" clutch player we really have (while everyone else is significantly negative).

westcoastRapsfan · 05-14-2012, 11:07 PM

Good read, but why you always hating on bayless?

Grizz · 05-15-2012, 05:46 PM

If anyone wants to read a piece detailing the over-fixation on clutch statistics:
Catch 23: The Hero Fallacy and Why We Overvalue Closers Back Picks - +EV Sports Blogging

Very good read.

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05-14-2012, 10:58 AM	#3 (permalink)
LX is a belly putter in a world of crotch shots In the Paint Join Date: Dec 2007 Location: Toronto Posts: 23,572 Representing:	nice work Grizz. I think this would be a big area of concern as far as the draft and/or free agent additions come into play.

05-14-2012, 11:04 AM	#4 (permalink)
'trane is getting tired of shifting hope around giant steps Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 15,392 Representing:	nice work grizz. enjoyable read first thing on a monday morning.

05-14-2012, 01:00 PM	#6 (permalink)
Phil McCracken is keepin' it real up in the field. Junior Member Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Dunnville Posts: 48 Representing:	Cool stuff, man. No real surprise that we don't have a closer, but the Raps aren't the only team in TO that don't.

05-14-2012, 04:00 PM	#7 (permalink)
Bankiz is making funny and strange dark trade in his mind !!! Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 1,805 Representing:	Nice grizz ! just a question : do you have the barbosa numbers during his time here ? i think that would be interesting to know too.

05-14-2012, 06:01 PM	#9 (permalink)
DanH is sticking to his guns... is stuck to his guns... Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2010 Location: Montreal, QC Posts: 2,413 Representing:	Great read Grizz. Interesting that Bargnani seems to be the only "plus" clutch player we really have (while everyone else is significantly negative).

05-14-2012, 11:07 PM	#10 (permalink)
westcoastRapsfan is pounding the rock! Junior Member Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 10 Representing:	Good read, but why you always hating on bayless?

05-15-2012, 05:46 PM	#11 (permalink)
Grizz is waiting for his team to return Member Join Date: Feb 2010 Location: Vancouver Posts: 483 Representing:	If anyone wants to read a piece detailing the over-fixation on clutch statistics: Catch 23: The Hero Fallacy and Why We Overvalue Closers Back Picks - +EV Sports Blogging Very good read.