Chisholm: Worst case scenario for Colangelo, Raptors
Old 12-06-2012, 06:40 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Raptors Chisholm: Worst case scenario for Colangelo, Raptors

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All in all, this is probably the worst-case scenario for Bryan Colangelo this year.

4-15

.211 winning percentage, second-worst in the NBA.

25th in the NBA in defensive efficiency, 27th in points per game defence, 27th in field goal percentage defence, 26th in three-point percentage defence, 28th in opponent's free throw attempts per game and 28th in opponent points per shot.

Andrea Bargnani is scoring a four-year low 16.8 ppg on a five-year low .395 field goal percentage. He's shooting 4.6 threes and 4.7 long-twos per game and only 2.8 shots per game at the rim. He's shooting just 3.4 free throws per game after shooting 5.6 a season ago. He's sporting a career-low rebound rate and his worst assist rate since his rookie season.

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That DeMar DeRozan has struggled at perimeter defence is to be expected; he's not a good defender, but the thought was that Casey and Lowry were a defensive match made in heaven that should help offset DeRozan's defensive weaknesses. In reality, Casey has not been able to corral Lowry's obsession with gambling on defence which, paired with DeRozan's ball-watching, has turned Toronto's perimeter defence into a non-entity and put way too much pressure on Valanciunas to rotate to cover everyone's permissive ways.

All of this has put Toronto into panic mode, with ESPN.com reporting that Bryan Colangelo has already put in a call to the L.A. Lakers to see if he can pry Pau Gasol away before Toronto's season becomes a complete write-off.

Here's the situation facing Colangelo: he knows that if this season continues down the path it's on, his contract will be allowed to expire this offseason and he'll hit the unemployment line significantly tarnished. He sold the higher-ups at MLSE on his rebuilding plan that involved punting two seasons (after missing the playoffs in the two seasons before that), so that he could assemble a new roster the 'right way'. This year was supposed to show the early promise of that plan, and so far, the team has performed worse than they did at the start of either of their two rebuilding seasons.

While most fans would usually be starting a #tank meme on Twitter right around now in order to secure a high draft pick, Colangelo sold his first-round pick to Houston (now with Oklahoma City) in exchange for Lowry. He felt the move had a built-in failsafe, though, because even though the pick is protected so that it's guaranteed to be in the lottery, the team was supposed to be good enough to prevent the pick from being any higher than 8 or 9.

Yes, the pick was wisely protected in the top-three this season, but the top-three picks are distributed through the lottery, and not even a bottom-three record guarantees a top-three pick (the Raptors themselves fell from three to five in the 2011 draft lottery). So, at least for Colangelo, tanking is simply not an option this year because it has an even narrower potential for success than it does in a normal year.

So, instead of a #tank meme, the fans have instead opted for a #fireBC meme, which will probably only gain in popularity if the season continues to waste away like it has been for six weeks.

Colangelo likely won't be fired, though. The organization knows that they can just let him walk in July and not have to pay him another dime if they so choose, and they also know that Colangelo won't sit on his hands like his predecessor Rob Babcock did while another season is frittered away (as the inquiries about Gasol would indicate). Handing the reins to Ed Stefanski doesn't actually do anything but temporarily subdue the fans, and the club will need time to find a suitable long-term replacement if Colangelo is not retained, and such searches only paralyze a team mid-season, which the Raptors cannot afford right now.

Chisholm: Worst-case scenario for Raptors' Colangelo
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Old 12-06-2012, 06:55 PM   #2 (permalink)
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We're the second worse team in the NBA right now? Omg


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Old 12-06-2012, 07:05 PM   #3 (permalink)
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thought it was a really good article. well worth reading the entire piece.

it sparked a fear in me: collangelo could easilly screw things up even further, and longer lasting, throwing a hail mary to show some sort of "turn around". or even that he could salt the land on purpose so the guy that follows him doesn't get anywhere near the opportunity (that was set up for him) to make one look the saviour.

i think the team (ownership) needs to force all deals affecting future obligations be approved going forward, or cut him loose right now. stephanski can handle the day-to-day bits for the season and would most certainly not have an i-have-the-final-say clause.
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Old 12-06-2012, 07:23 PM   #4 (permalink)
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• 25th in the NBA in defensive efficiency, 27th in points per game defence, 27th in field goal percentage defence, 26th in three-point percentage defence, 28th in opponent's free throw attempts per game and 28th in opponent points per shot.
Looks like we found one thing worse than Bargnanis season so far.
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Old 12-06-2012, 07:56 PM   #5 (permalink)
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i thought this was scary:
• Kyle Lowry is allowing his opponents to put up a 19.1 PER, according to 82games.com, and the team is allowing 5.3 more points per 100 possessions when he is on the court (the same as Jose Calderon).

add in the absolute suckiness of our overall defence, our putrid offence, and listlessness in lack of direction or identity... lowry's our "best player" and we seem to have gotten worse.

feels like we're hexed.

this year's draft is looking eerily similar to bargnani's (although odds suggest we won't have a pick) you know that even if we cut off the legs and arms of all our players next year, we still wouldn't get wiggins.
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Old 12-06-2012, 08:01 PM   #6 (permalink)
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I can't see them firing BC mid-season. He's going to get a chance to make a move with the assets he has.
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Old 12-06-2012, 08:09 PM   #7 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by spuriousjones View Post
i thought this was scary:
• Kyle Lowry is allowing his opponents to put up a 19.1 PER, according to 82games.com, and the team is allowing 5.3 more points per 100 possessions when he is on the court (the same as Jose Calderon).
Ya I thought that was curious too, but I assume the "5.3 more points per 100 possessions when he is on the court" is like a plus/minus stat which is pretty misleading.

I think Chisholm is also saying that a Lowry/Demar/JV combination is worse defensively than a Jose/Demar/Amir combination?

I agree that it's very unlikely BC is going to be fired.
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Old 12-06-2012, 08:13 PM   #8 (permalink)
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FUCK THIS YEAR AND NEXT, DRAFT WIGGINS.
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Old 12-06-2012, 08:14 PM   #9 (permalink)
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Wow... It's brutal that Bargnani is playing at an abysmal rate, but his point about DeRozan's defense is very clear. I'm not going to harp on DD, I've only ever known him as a brutal defender, and even Lowry as a gambling defender.... though that's a strength of his in my mind as you need some unpredictability on that side of the ball. It's why we miss JJ so much despite him not being more than an average NBA player. Casey hasn't been hard enough on Bargnani or DeRozan, and probably a few others as well. Maybe the Triano era helped cement some really bad habits.
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Old 12-06-2012, 08:29 PM   #10 (permalink)
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Article described our situation well... We are fucked
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Old 12-06-2012, 08:32 PM   #11 (permalink)
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Hmmm. When's the Jays season start?

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Old 12-06-2012, 08:37 PM   #12 (permalink)
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Maybe James Johnson was the defensive glue guy last year.

It looked to me like Demar was putting more of an effort into defense this year but maybe its sporadic.

Last edited by Beans; 12-06-2012 at 08:42 PM.
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Old 12-06-2012, 08:43 PM   #13 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by Ammo View Post
Hmmm. When's the Jays season start?

You wanna know what's funny.

Leafs season ender fans chanted "Let's Go Blue Jays"

Blue Jays season ender Fans chanted "Let's Go Raptors"


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Bruce Arthur ‏@bruce_arthur

Oh dear. RT @ShiDavidi: New low point for Jays season? Fans in stands start "Let's go, Raptors" chant.
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Old 12-06-2012, 08:51 PM   #14 (permalink)
T. Ross IS The Phantom Menace.

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I remember, but I'm a Toronto sports fan.

Anticipate the best, but then don't be shocked when one Jay shows up aloof and out of shape, one gets a foot injury, one develops phantom throwing claw and needs surgery and none of them can play Gibbons's system......oh and the first quarter of the season is 75 percent road games against contenders.

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Old 12-06-2012, 09:00 PM   #15 (permalink)
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Some reason I have a feeling that if we tanked well end up getting the 4th over all pick which would be given to OKC. But seriously something needs to be done right now, and I think its pretty clear who needs to go. Its the process of actually doing it rather than talking about it. If no trades do happen after discussion, maybe well need to use our amnesty
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Old 12-06-2012, 09:01 PM   #16 (permalink)
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Some reason I have a feeling that if we tanked well end up getting the 4th over all pick which would be given to OKC. But seriously something needs to be done right now, and I think its pretty clear who needs to go. Its the process of actually doing it rather than talking about it. If no trades do happen after discussion, maybe well need to use our amnesty
Can't do that until next summer, and why use amnesty now anyway?
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Old 12-06-2012, 09:02 PM   #17 (permalink)
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Maybe James Johnson was the defensive glue guy last year.

It looked to me like Demar was putting more of an effort into defense this year but maybe its sporadic.
Nah its Not about Glue, or any of that bs.. Its all on coach, if players would respect Casey and believe in his ideas they would be playing much much better. We have plenty of talent to compete, but our players stopped believing in the system. Unlike last year where everybody were digging ''pound the rock'' thing, even though the team was full of D leaguers
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Old 12-06-2012, 09:03 PM   #18 (permalink)
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DeMar's defense has definitely improved. Calling him a ball watcher is ridiculous. Chisholm does nothing but cut and paste shit from message boards. There are some points in here, mostly obvious, but attempts at analysis are pretty weak overall.
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Old 12-06-2012, 09:05 PM   #19 (permalink)
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Can't do that until next summer, and why use amnesty now anyway?
ahh didnt know it could only be used at the start of the season. Well when things dont go too well and you cant get a trade for those specific players, maybe amnestying one of them would help out for now to clear the load and sign a FA temporarily, or receive an extra player if a trade works out later
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Old 12-06-2012, 09:57 PM   #20 (permalink)
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How are so many posts all about DD defense and not Lowry's.
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