kenchan

post season record currently at 63-42-1 (with specific breakdown below)
ATS:22-19
O/U:18-8-1
Player Prop bet: 8-7
2H bets 12-6
NHL: 3-2

I have no idea what side i'm gonna be playin and will be lookin at the numbers up until game time but I am leanin on Orl ATS...I do know that I will be on Under 189 for the game tho. Even tho the first two games have gone over but as they come to Orlando I see it goin under (the under has hit in 4 of the 6 home playoff games at Amway arena). The under cashed in 30 out of 47 regular season home orlando games and both teams are defensive minded so I'm thinking that they will make the necessary adjustments, not letting each team shoot as well as they did in Cleveland. (I read somewhere that the cavs were a top 3 in the regular season and the magic were a top 6 team)...for these reason I'm on the Under for this game.

TwoDigitz

love the under!
im thinking the line is kind of trap as the -1.5 looks fair but with what the whole world has seen, orlando looks like the superior team here but just like in the lakers series were denver was controlling the tempo and game in both game 1 and 2 just split the series in la and then going back home they lose the game 3....
i truly think the books want you to bet on orlando but this whole series, the dog has covered every single time and i dont think the trend will end today, espcially on a sunday where the public usually loves the home team and the over...
im thinking orlando comes out of gate strong and will lose the lead and eventually lose this game, most likely going to be a last second shot...

kenchan

I like your insight twodigitz...but I think i'm gonna ride ORL ATS for the game. Like you said, orlando looks like the superior team compared to the cavs and I"m just gonna have to ride the superior team as i'm on the magic...(i think there is a difference between the magic and the nuggets...the magic have been down BOTH games 1 and 2 to the point I was about to mail in my bets to then come back...plus with the nuggets and lakers, the better players are on the lakers [the 1st, 3rd and maybe 4th, depending on how you view mr.big shot compared to bynum and/or odom], where in this series after lebron I'd have to say the next three best players are on the magic)....when the magic came back in both those games it was the second half when the cavs would feed off less from their crowd. Plus its shown that there are a couple more match-up problems for the cav's to contend with compared to the magic. The two regular season match-ups IN orlando the magic were -3.5 and -5 point favorites and they covered those easily winning by 29 and the other by 11 points. So I'm gonna go with the value of the line, the better team imo and home team in this match up...BUT if this doesn't hit for one of us at least lets cash in with that Under cuz I do feel really good about that play.

TwoDigitz

i hear where your coming from and your just making my points stronger...
the books KNOW orlando COVERED BOTH -3.5 and -5 this season. the magics played hell of a game in game one and two and the line is ONLY -1.5. something is NOT right here. i thought the line should be at least -3 but more closer to -4 today, just like the denver line. Instead the line is still at -1.5. i really think the books want orlando money to come in real bad and they are afraid to jack up the line any higher cuz i believe the sharps will pound cleveland plus more points.
i think im going with the magics 1q and 1h and cle. for the game...
with you on the under like i said but it seems too easy...
if your right about orlando covering tonight for the game then i do see a high scoring affair...

kenchan

14.4 seconds left...joe smith just fould pietrus...WHY?...geezus the under looked SO good til the last two minutes...phew....mo williams just missed that 3...hahah...that would have been some bullshiet if he made it and the over came in...YIPPPEEE...went 2-0 today.

**just edited this thread...saw i said joe johnson and not joe smith

kenchan

2-0 today bringin the record to 65-42-1 (with specific breakdown below)
ATS:23-19
O/U:19-8-1
Player Prop bet: 8-7
2H bets 12-6
NHL: 3-2

TwoDigitz

nice job once again!!