5/19...let the conference finals begin
Old 05-19-2009, 06:57 AM   #1 (permalink)
is pounding the rock!

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Default 5/19...let the conference finals begin

As the conference finals kick off with MY lake show against the Nuggets my post season record stands at 56-37-1 (with specific breakdown below)
ATS:18-16
O/U:15-7-1
Player Prop bet: 8-7
2H bets 12-6
NHL: 3-1

With tomorrow's game...I'm really thinkin the Lakers come out strong on their home floor and get take this one...they have shown that they play A LOT harder at home (and you can't argue with two digitz comment a couple day's ago about them only losin 17% of games at home durin the playoffs) and I think the lakers are tired of hearin talk about them not takin the league seriously and taking games off. I think they come out to make a "fuck off" statement to the world and take this one from start to finish...I can see how this could be considered a homer pick but to be honest I really think we will see a melo/lebron final BECAUSE the lakers have bought into their own hype that they are so good they can take nights off...BUT i just see them stickin it to the nuggets this first game. (of course, i did think of the angle that they could come out like the fakers due to the awesome game seven they just played...but from that game came more negative talk of how they take nights off so i'm hopin that's not the case) so I'm gonna be takin the LAL ATS 1H -3.5 and ATS for the game -6.5 (will buy it down to 6). I'm also leanin on the under but with the Nuggets ability to put up points and games goin over lately I'm still hesitant to make this an official play cuz I know the lakers don't have a problem keepin the tempo at a fast pace.
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Old 05-19-2009, 02:26 PM   #2 (permalink)
is pounding the rock!

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going lightly on the 1q under, 1h under, and under on the game...these unders better hit kenchan!!

also on the lakers 1q, 1h, and the game, normal units on this one...

also have the nets and bucks to win the lottery +6000 and +3000 respectively...
90% sure ill put some on the craptors just because im always in this forum....
i want to also put some on the knicks but since the draft has been at msg like forever and i dont remember the last time the knicks got the first pick...ny hasnt gotten the number one pick for a long time, maybe their due or maybe they just cant win at home!
hoping im not jinxing myself but if i hope ny and g-state dont hit cuz those r probably the other 2 i wanted to play but picking 5 out of 14 teams and not hitting would be pretty gay so ill stick with the 3 i like most, New jersey Pitts, Milwaukee Sucks and the Toronto Craptors!
thats it for the nba for me...
will be back at halftime...maybe...
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Old 05-19-2009, 04:57 PM   #3 (permalink)
is pounding the rock!

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MY FINAL THOUGHTS after lookin at the numbers....as for the ATS pick...Lakers have covered between these two 10 out of 12 and 13 of 16 at home...the under has hit 6 of the last 7 and 9 out of 13 at the staples center. In the two games at staples this year the line was -8.5 and like the rockets series the first game at home started low i think it was -8.5 too and ended up at -13 by game 7. I'm thinkin that this game might be the game with line value...Plus bynum plays better on the home floor with a crowd behind him so i don't think the denver crowd will get in his head (he's the big X factor seein Lamar is going into hidin for the playoffs once again)...so again, I"m on the Under and LAL ATS 1H and for the game.

I also have a NHL pick today...I'm gonna take the over 5.5 in the CHIC/DET game.
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