4/28 picks and leans
went 3-0 yesterday to bring the postseason total to 23-13-1 (with specific breakdown below)
Player Prop bet: 2-2
2H bets 8-2
its about 630in the morning and i'm about to finally hit the sack...I've been lookin at tomorrow's lines and goin over the numbers and different angles and how the teams have come out so far these series. The scary conclusion I've come up with are leans on ALL the underdogs and a lean on the U in the HOU/POR game. I'll tell you now that I probably won't play the Chic game just cuz I have too much ridin on my series bet for them to win but the way that series has played out with 3 of the 4 games within 3 points I think gettin 7.5 is a gift the same goes with Philly gettin 8.5 against the magic. SA is in a must win but without Manu I KNOW they won't win the series but it still could be enough for them to take this game on their home court (I would rather see a 2H line on this one)...and the final game is like the Den/NO series, I just see Houston as the better team but I'll stick with the under in this game.
THose are my leans for tomorrow and I'll be back with my official plays.
NOTE: Unfortunately, i'll be back at grad school and probably won't be at a computer to put in my halftime bets like I usually do...But my first class which starts at 4 we are havin a midterm so I if there is a game between 6-7 I might be able to catch some game at the campus pub and get to a computer.
after lookin a lil more at the lines right now (i should be out of my house and studyin for this midterm in a couple hours) my four official plays for today are as follows
CHIC/BOS U 198.5 (will buy it to 199)...with Ben Gordon's hammy sore I just don't think the bulls will have enough offense for the total to go over BUT from what i've seen in the series I'm pretty sure their defense will keep it tight which is why I like the under and not Boston to cover the spread.
I'll take Philly ATS +8.5 (will buy it to 9)...the Magic are worse than the lakers in the way they can't close out teams and seem to let the quicker philly team back into the games. Orl hasn't covered one game in the four games of this series and i think gettin this many points is a gift.
Hou ATS +6...Sure the blazers are a different team at the rose garden but Hou is just the better team here. I wouldn't be surprised with a ML win, but i'm not about to get greedy and will stick with the houston gettin the points.
I also am takin TOny Parker pts+rebs over 28.5...to me this is a no brainer, especially at home against the mavs with their backs against the wall.
the only tricky thing about the TP player prop is that its with rebounds...thats what scares me....there was the artest U 21.5 pts+assists prop that stood out to me too, BUT i just don't have enough time to look at all his stats given my situation today. good luck guys.
shoulda taken the TP prop bet....that was waay too easy....
yup, glad I took it cuz it was my only win yesterday...I should have taken that artest prop too. It was frustrating checkin the scores in class to see I was on the wrong side of the two underdogs as my picks and then gettin screwed by the OT. oh well. 1-3 yesterday, lets get back on track.
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