Originally Posted by Bill Haverchuck
The Miami game against Washington is big, for a number of reasons. It could settle things. If Miami loses, all Indiana has to do is beat Orlando to win the 1 seed. Miami needs to take care of business in that game.
According to NBA.com, after head-to-head record, the next tiebreak criteria is division record. Miami and Indiana split 2-2 against each other. If Miami beats Washington, they finish with a better division record and win the tiebreak. Miami then plays Philly, and winning that game is basically a choice of whether they rest players or not. I suspect Miami waits to see what happens in the Indiana/OKC game.
Miami's last game is against Philly, so if they lose to Washington, the Heat could still get another win if they try. And with Indiana playing OKC at home, and then Orlando on the road, I have a feeling Indy will split. But, if Miami has lost to Washington, Indy holds the tiebreaker because it moves to conference record, and Indiana has done better against the East.
Miami beats Washington = Miami owns tiebreak
Miami loses = Indy owns tiebreak
And, that Miami/Washington game will likely decide if each team bothers to try during the last game.
Division record is tie-breaker only for teams in same division. For IND- MIA its the conference record that will decide in tie as both are division winners and they were tied against each other. So basically MIA needs to win one more game than IND to win the division with both having two left. Either way the Washington is must win for MIA to get that seed. But right now Im rooting for WAS as in the unlikely scenario that we beat BKN in first round, our match-up with Indiana would offer atleast some interest. Against MIA it would only be interesting to see if we can steal one win.
And for us, it doesnt matter what the result is in last six games, but we need to get our shit together. Our defense has been so bad for this whole month. There hasnt really been consecutive good defensive effort games in two months. It would be really nice to see us blow out one or two of these last games, not because we can score at will, but because we keep the opponent from scoring.