Originally Posted by Ligeia
I don't think that there is a necessary connection between the risk and the reward. Sometimes the risk is low and the reward great, or vice-versa. We should analyze both aspects in each individual case on their own merits.
In this case, I think that Amare constitutes a huge financial risk due to his contract, lack of insurance, and health. Even in the best case scenario, I don't think his talent justifies such a risk, especially when we look long-term. It's admittedly a judgement call.
This is what it comes down to.
2 yrs ago he was an MVP candidate.
Last year (while battling injuries stemming from coming into camp out of shape) he still put up 17 & 8 on 48% shooting.
I would be willing to wager that here, as the 1st or 2nd option along with Lowry, he'd be good for at least 22 & 8 if not more.