Originally Posted by poetics
you must have a lot of kids..if you're betting on it not being rigged - to some extent!
the changes of being rigged are infinitesimal, just think about it:
1. you would have to have a core group of people at the top of the league who are involved in this. Assuming it was rigged for some time, you would end up with quite a few people that have a very strong blackmailing tool at their disposal everytime they have more to lose by not using the tool.
2. you would have to get the accounting firm to cooperate with you. Again, that means more than a handful of people (the turnover rate within the accounting firm is probably high, so every few years you would have to deal with different people). You would also have to provide a VERY strong incentive to the accounting firm to risk their reputation, and you would also have to hide this incentive. We're talking at least 10s of millions of dollars (let's just say that somebody like PWC would not risk their reputation for 500k ...).
3. they would have to have a really strong reason to do it. Even if it only costs them 2-3 million dollars a year to cheat, what do they really have to gain. Would sending the #1 pick to the right team really make the NBA that much more profitable, to the point of covering the costs and compensating for the huge risks of this leaking out to the media?
It just makes no sense, the NBA would have to be really stupid to do it AND really clever to pull it off.