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Old 05-10-2011, 10:31 AM   #68 (permalink)

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Originally Posted by Claudius View Post
Sorry, how is it likely? I can cite numerous examples where a poor defender (in youth) becomes a good defender with age. Here's one, Ray Allen off the top of my head.

Again, only panic stricken people sell low (typically).

Factoring in skill set, age and position, there's a likelihood that remains what he is right now (therefore keeping the market the same) or actually improving in SOME areas.

The wisest move would be to trade him next December (IF there is a season).
you can't use previous examples with bargnani, it just doesn't work with him. and in response to ur example, Ray Allen has a ridiculous work ethic. if Bargnani trained with him, he would quit basketball out-right.

so these are my odds: 1/3 decline, 1/3 same, 1/3 improve
that essentially gives us 2/3 of sucking, so these odds are telling us he's like a car....the longer we keep him to more he depreciates
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