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Old 08-01-2008, 11:34 PM   #32 (permalink)

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orlando will be in the luxury tax for well into the next decade ... they will never have cap space until lewis runs out. Unless they want to trade howard for bosh, it's impossible for make a run at bosh.

And generally speaking, there's a reason you see very few superstars changin teams. There are only two ways for a team to acquire a max contract player, free agency and trades. And there is only one reason for a superstar to "flee" - underperformance. Since no good team will ever be 25% under the cap space (so they can give a max contract), the only *realistic" way is to sign and trade.

What this makes it so clear is that it's extremely unlikely for a superstar to enter free agency. If a superstar is unhappy, he will do this: first sign a max term, max money contract. Then, after a year or two, start asking for a sign and trade. If the team won't give it to you, then you go to media and slowly you force their hand.

What this means for us is that we can't really lose Chris Bosh through free agency, only through a sign and trade. And that sign and trade will only happen sometime in 2011 or after.

To be honest, I don't even remember the last young superstar who became a free agent ...
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