On paper nj had a pretty good team, nobody would have predicted 10 wins for them before the season. They had problems with injuries, management and coaching headaches, and after a while they just didn't care anymore.
Our roster is not heavy on stars, but we'll be much deeper than njn was, and our chemistry will be very good. And we won't have 1000 people in the stands, we'll actually have a home court advantage.
Heck, we won 5 of 12 without Bosh
last season, so this roster has shown the ability to play .400 ball. Replace Turk with Barbosa, kleiza and Davis, account for the large improvement expected from demar and sonny, and it's not unrealistic to even hope for .500.
Most likely number will be 32 wins or so IMO, but obviously there are still moves to be made.
The reality is that 10 wins is really hard not to surpass, there's a reason it happens once a decade ...