Raptors Forum | Toronto Raptors Forums & Message Boards - View Single Post - why Toronto will be a 6th seed with 47 wins
View Single Post
Old 12-13-2009, 01:34 AM   #1 (permalink)
numb3r_cruncher
is pounding the rock!

Junior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 1
Representing:
Default why Toronto will be a 6th seed with 47 wins

hi Raptor fans. Toronto has had the most brutal schedule in the entire NBA. I run boxscorebasketball.com and have noticed a HUGE discrepancy regarding the level of difficulty that the Raptors have had at the start of this season.

I do additional analysis - not only strength of schedule, but adjusted Home/road strength of schedule. You'll see here, by considering every team's opponents home/road records based on where the games are played, Toronto has had the MOST DIFFICULT schedule by far:
http://www.boxscorebasketball.com/strength.htm
they are almost 2 standard deviations from the mean in games played so far. More interesting, is when comparing the difference between opponents WL records (home/road) of Toronto has played vs. remaining games, they also have the greatest difference (between difficulty of games remaining to games played):
http://www.boxscorebasketball.com/strength.htm#dif

I also have them projected to be a 6th seed at 47-35 (much better than their current pace of finishing 33-48:
http://www.boxscorebasketball.com/projected.htm


They also fall #15 on the season, even though they are 10-15.
http://www.boxscorebasketball.com/topten.htm

mark my word: they will make the playoffs. come back to this thread in March when the front office is printing playoff tickets.

ps-I was so high on Calderon and took him WAY EARLY in my fantasy draft (ahead of Billups). What is up with that free throw % tank job? Ugh!

Last edited by numb3r_cruncher; 12-13-2009 at 01:37 AM.
numb3r_cruncher is offline   Boss Key Wife Key Reply With Quote