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Old 03-15-2008, 09:55 PM   #1 (permalink)
moremilk
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Default can we still miss the playoffs?

Quote:
Legend:

red = almost sure loss
green = almost sure win

orange = 50-50 chance

black = direct competition
Given our upcoming schedule:

@Sac
@Uta
Mia
@Cle
Den
Det

NY
NO
@Cha
@Atl
Cha
@NJ
Mil
Nj
@Det
Mia
@Chi

I see 6 almost guaranteed losses and 2 almost guaranteed wins. Games highlighted in orange I see as 50-50, so for those 6 let's count 3 wins. And we're left with 3 games against direct competition for the playoffs (NJ and Atlanta). Let's assume some bad luck and we end up losing all 3. We're left with only 5 wins until the end of the season. 5 + 34 = 39 which might not be enough.

Even if we win one of these 3, with 40, we could still be in danger. And I doubt we can sweep NJ considering we couldn't sweep anybody so far ... So best case scenario would be we win 2 of these 3, and we still finish below .500. And I think I've been very fair in my assesment. The way it stands right now, I see ourselves finishing with 38-40 wins, which would be amazing because that's the exact number Hollinger predicted for us at the beginning of the season ...
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