5/6 NBA IS FIXED leans and picks
1-1 last night....my post season record now stands at 36-23-1 (with specific breakdown below)
Player Prop bet: 6-5
2H bets 10-3
HERE is my "NBA is fixed" STRONG lean...I don't think there is ANY way that the magic come out of here with a 2-0 lead over the defending champs...Personally, I think stern has sent out a memo sayin that the champs better even up the series. Look at last game, the first half the magic are killin the celtics and yet I couldn't put in a 2nd half bet in cuz the magic have been proned to givin up leads in the 2nd half BUT more importantly I felt SO STRONGLY that the refs would call foul after foul and the celtics would eventually get back into the game on FT's. I see the same thing happening here as did in game 7 of the CHIC/BOS game where as early as 5 minutes into the 4th quarter the bulls were already over the limit and couldn't play D letting the celtics get freebies from the ft line or drive against soft defense. MY STRONG lean is on the Celtics ATS but my OFFICIAL pick is the OVER 188.5 (will buy it down to 188) for the same reasons as BOS coverin the spread. I think both teams will shoot at a better clip AND there will be a ton of calls that will lead to A LOT of points made while the clock is stopped.
As for the other game I am thinkin the same thing but the lakers don't have to rely on the refs in this game like the celtics do...(if it was any other team rondo would have been suspended game 7...and the league still thinks the lakers will pull this one out)...anyways, I think the lakers will handle their business here but with them blowin so many second half leads I think the play might be the LAL 1H ATS, but thats just a lean.
SO right now I have 1 official pick (ORL/BOS O) with one strong lean (BOS ATS) and still undecided about the HOU/LAL game.
There are three player/game props I like...the one I'm gonna lock in right now as a official play is the ORL/BOS over 14.5 3pointers made...they combined to shoot 50 3's last game makin 17 of them...I think this trend will continue and I'll ride this prop.
The other prop I'm debating on has to deal with KOBE...i'm not sure whats better KOBE over 38.5pts+rebs+assts or KOBE ft's made 5.5...I see Kobe not havin has bad of a shooting night nor do i see him letting the lakers go down 0-2 to the rockets. I could see him just playin facilitator which would help out his assists but lower his points and for the same reason of him not letting the lakers go down 0-2 I can see him setting the tone and drive to the hoop instead of takin a bunch of jumpers...I'll be back with an official play on one of these two props later.
NOTE: all three of these props you gotta pay a steep juice on them but I really think they are gonna hit so i'm not too worried about the juice here.